Dave “Bruddog” Brude breaks down the 268-man Tecmo Madison XII field by region. He predicts the potential group winners through a power ranking formula in addition to his in-depth knowledge of the Tecmo Bowl player community. Follow Bruddog on Twitter @bruddogtecmo. The following post is unedited from TecmoBowl.org.
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DISCLAIMER: The numbers next to each player posted below are derived using an SRS iterative method from past tourney results. I used only the last 3 Madison tourney’s with the following weightings (10%,30%, 60%) There are no subjective adjustments. They are merely ONE TOOL in evaluating a player’s past madison performances and relative skill. They can be thought of as the average number of points a player would beat an average Madison participant based on past results.
Find a couple examples of ratings from 3 different players over the last 3 tourneys below:
Low to High (-3.9, 12.3, 16.0) – Consistent (14.0,13.8, 12.2) – High to Low ( 17.2, 13.1, 9.5)
Please note: the groupings are dynamic. As participants drop out, the groupings may change to rebalance the tournament.
Starting off with the Farve region and Tecmo Super Bowl powerhouse Chet, Bruddog breaks down the field.
Farve Region
Group 1– Two-time champion Chet is the powerhouse here. If you are in this group your chance of a Cinderella 64 appearance goes down considerably. Given tourney history I expect a 3-0 performance from Chet who is looking to get back to the final 8 after losing narrowly to daboys in an epic game last year where daboys pulled off one of the jukes of the tourney. Having played Ryan.S online recently he has definitely improved his game from the last go around and has been training hard and the rating number highly likely doesn’t do him justice and would be my choice to emerge from the losers bracket as knocking off Chet is a tall task few have been able to do. Ryan is also looking to avenge an epic battle that resulted in a 3pt loss to gripsmoke in OT. Scott S. has made it out of group play two years in a row and will definitely give this group a run for their money.
Group 2- Should be a battle between Tecmo veteran O’Delle and another tourney vet David T. (Ashman) for the automatic berth. Odelle looking to get back to the elite 8 like he did in Tecmo X. Meanwhile Ashman lost to a hot Lefty in the round of 32 last year.
Group 3- Tourney local Lucas S (Breaker) appears to be the favorite here assuming he’s not super rusty. His last Madison appearance was Tecmo X where he made a run to the Elite 8 before losing to mort and bgboud. Ryan K (Hoigarrd) looks to reverse a downward trend of wins in Madison form 3 to 2 to just 1 last year but has mostly been losing close games. Site founder Matt Knobbe has lost in the round of 64 the last two tourney’s and will be hoping to improve on that.
Group 4– Matt DeGeorge is making his first Madison appearance but is no stranger to tournament play or Tecmo having won multiple northeast tourney titles and will be looking to make his mark on Madison and should be he favorite in this group. Two Jay’s phillyopish and birdhas uwl will be his primary competitors. birdhas uwl nearly made the Elite 8 in Tecmo after a one pt win vs skunker in the round of 32 but lost to Jeff B in the round of 16. In Tecmo X his last appearance he failed to make it out of pool play as did the other Jay philyophish.
Group 5– Tourney vet Rico (ryan33fulcher) looks to be the favorite of this group that is currently light a player that will assumedly be filled in from the play in tourney on Friday. Whoever earns that spot will definitely have a chance. Leif Powers (Nameless Loser) the creator of likely the most in-depth Tecmo FAQ to date will make his first Madison appearance. I know little of the current state of his gaming skills but he would be my other choice to escape this group given how little I know of the rest of this group. There are 2 other newcomers I know little about.
Group 6– Louis brother of Mort has to be the favorite of this group light on players with tourney experience and or positive results. He will be hoping to break through to the round of 16 after losing to two quality players in the round of 32 including last years dreaded SEA/NE matchup loss to Gats. The rest of the group looks like a crapshoot to me but the next best player appears to be Justin L who do not escape group play the last 2 years going 2-2 both years.
Group 7 – This group features two primetimes and a grogan. Advantage Primetime? Local tourney vet Troy H (Primetime) looks to be the cream of this group. He had a rough draw in the round of 64 drawing Vogt brother Jimmy V (Lefty) who narrowly missed the elite 8. He’s also been eliminated buy Regulator twice in past tourney’s so I’m sure he’s hoping for some better matchup fortune. The other Primetime (Paul. G) has been trending up (-5.4 to 5.5). He had a very solid tourney last year knocking off Mort in the round of 64 and then losing it what appears to be an OT game vs Skunker. Brian R (Grogan) has also been trending up with each tourney ( -27, 3.7, 9.1). He nearly won his group last year losing by a mere 3 pts to online powerhouse Gats. He ultimatly lost to Louis in the roundof 64 . He should be dangerous with another year of tournmanet experiance under his belt.
Group 8 – Local player Justin G (Lamefest) will be making his 5th straight appearance in what looks to be a group with a number of solid if unspectacular players. He will be hoping to turn things around with a number of double digit losses to top players. It should be a close battle for the 2nd spot between two Ben P, Ben B(Rockman) and tourney vet and good guy Kevin C.. I know Rockman has been getting his practice in online so he would could be a darkhorse that wins the whole group.
Stiller Region
Group 9– The likely top seed in the tourney Kyle M. (Regulator) currently at 31-4 in Madison play should likely plow through this group. Regulator’s elite skill plus his elite tapping makes him a nightmare. Word on the street is that he has a new Tecmo shirt ready for Tecmo XII. Will this shirt incur the Tecmo Gods wrath? only time will tell. Expect him to get close to the max point differential possible in group play as it features 4 new players and the potential 2 seeds don’t look like they can give Kyle much of a scare. The ratings listed are a little off as it appears Todd D (imimortl) is the stronger player here based on record and the weighting method punished him for last years 1-2 flameout. Kramer J (mighty bombjack) went 0-2 last year but defeated (imimortl)badly 42-7 in Tomzack Bowl 7. So who knows who really has the upper hand here well other than Regulator looking to prove that last year should be asterisked since he wasn’t there.
Group 10- Newly engaged, tecmo madison website admin, and local resident Tony “Eat Shit” Orenga. (AverageTSBPlayer) will have the ever loud and decorated Orenga Posse backing him making for the biggest “home field” advantage in Madison . He will be looking to make another deep run after defeating gats in OT before falling to tourney finalists psycho and coconuts in back to back games. Tony should cruise through what now appears to be one of the weakest pools due to some re-shuffling. The # 2 seed appears up for grabs.
Group 11- Continuing with what is likely the most famous region we have the legendary Tecmo VI champion Francis B. (Mort). After a deep run to the elite 8 in Tecmo IX mort has had some narrow losses in the round of 64 the last two years after cruising through pool play and definitely would like to reverse that trend this year There are a couple guys who should vie for the 2 seed. Aaron T. (Illini) went 1-2 in his first Tecmo Madison but came ready last year starting off 4-0 before getting pantsed by Chet in a SD Rams matchup 35-0. Michael B from Arizona had a nice showing in Tecmo X earning the #2 seed before falling to powerhouse BigMv in the round of 64.
Group 12– Seth B. (Virtuoso) leads group 12 with a solid tourney record and point differential. He lost to the aforementioned Mort in the round of 16 in Tecmo IX and had a 3 pt loss to Viking Moe who made the elite 8 last year. Local player Jason S. (B.Jack(n u up)son) and Andrew H. (Don) look to be the other main threats however neither made it out of pool play last year so it looks like one of their fortunes will be changing
Group 13– . Matt. B heechy looks like the clear favorite here upon closer game by game inspection. Lost to bgboud in the round of 16 in Tecmo IX. He had a narrow 3-0 loss in a PIT/PHX matchup to Diaz in round of 64 in Tecmo X and lost 31-7 to a hot gripsmoke in the round of 32 last year. Rob. H (PurpleHaze)has been getting some extra practice in online and made it out of group play last year before losing narrowly 14-10 to elite 8 finalist Orenga. Perhaps the posse was too much so he should be a threat as well. This group is currently a player light. Perhaps the Friday night runner up goes here?
Group 14– Online tecmo veteran haling from the Pacific Northwest Matt G (gripsmoke) barely got out of pool play needing OT to get past ryan stewart but then knocked off Mc and Heechy in dominant fashion before losing in the round of 16 to tecmo XI finalist Coco. His main threat will be local player Nick G. (Gio) who was in my pool in Tecmo XI and tok a step forward last year making it out of pool play as the #2 seed from his group. He lost in the round of 32 to elite player daboys.
Group 15 – 7 time tourney player Peter K (Moonwalk) made a return to Madison after a two year layoff last year and appeared to be a little rusty as Tecmo newcomer but also online player Sirted narrowly bested him twice….onece in pool play by 3 points and as it would have it again in bracket play in the round of 64. The battle for the second spot will likely be between Trevor O (Trozier) and Dan S. (Dan) who both made it out of their pool as the 2nd seed last year only to lose by 14+ in the round of 64.
Group 16 – It should be a tough battle at the top players who could make it out of the bracket. David T. (DT) appears to be the favorite given his play at Kumite III with a solid win over C.Vogt and his narrow 3 pt loss to Gio in the round of 64 at Madison last year . Well known online player Gerald S (SuicideKing) should have a good chance of coming out with his online and live tourney experience however this will be his first Madison which ramps up the intensity.
Diaz Region
Group 17– Josh A (Coconuts) has made it to back to back elite 8’s and came oh so close to winning it all last year getting elminated 13-10 in a very close championship game vs tecmopsycho. He recently took home the tundra bowl 3 championship and gave regulator all he could handle in the online thunderdome tourney where an unlucky fumble wrecked what would have been a win. Travis R (Pug Life) looks to be the only threat as he made it out of pool play as the 2 seed last year before losing in the round of 32.
Group 18- Matt M (Ones11fahzu) brother of Regulator and tourney veteran made a nice run to the elite 8 after two straight years of failing to reach the round of 16 where he lost 2 games by a total of 4 points to skunker and daboys. His ball control style is always tough to play against. Tim U (The UnKnown) became “known” after knocking off Mort 24-21 in Tecmo X in the round of 64. He made it out of group play last year as the #2 seed only to get shut out by joeygats. Peter B (Gridiron) made it out of group play last year as the 2 seed before falling by 14 to Manyo360. He has online experience as well and may have played ones before in league play. His tapping could prove to be a challenge for Matt.
Group 19- Local player Jeff B is hoping to make a deep run like he did in Tecmo IX where he made it to the elite 8 and went 2-2 falling to Chet and Daboy. There may be some lsight rust as his last game has a loss to O’delle in the round of 64 in Tecmo X. The always entertaining Joey S (Dr.Frolf) did not make it out of pool play last year but made it to the round of 64 in Tecmo X as a 2 seed before getting knocked off by yours truly.
Group 20– Bruddog, he seems pretty good. One of the tournament organizer guys in the group, he’ll probably receive some kind of backhanded help from Chet Goodell. A North Dakota guy is in the group, so it might be loud. A Madison tournament veteran is in the group, so at least there’s some quality players. Some other people are in the group too. This will all end up on the stream probably. Two people from this group will advance. — by QB_Browns
Group 21– This looks like a group that is waiting for a number 1 seed and number of guys who could make a run at the # 2 seed including an experienced online original rom player making his first Madison appearance Eamon B. Kris S (Sammie Smith) has come oh so close to getting out of group play the last 2 years Losing by 3 pts to Adam G. (Garbage) and Lamefest by 3 pts. Maybe this will be the year he gets to bracket play.
Group 22– This group features two time champion Jim B (Air Bontempo) whose rating gets dragged down by one of the more shocking events of Tecmo XI. After making it to the Elite 8 in Tecmo X, Jimmy went 1-2 in group play and was elminated. No doubt he will be looking to get that bad taste out of his mouth this year. Online player Bo J. (TecmoBo) made his first Madison appearance last year and did wellgoing 3-0 in group play before losing a 3pt gam to player121xk in the round of 64.
Group 23– Nathan M (Retro4ever) owner of retro4ever.com nad hoster of the Tundra bowl looks to be the cream of this group as he has made it out group play as the #2 seed the last two years only to lose badly to Sconnieale and Luke C. Maybe I’m missing something but I’m not sure who the #2 seed is her as it seems to be up for grabs based on who is left in the group.
Group 24 – This a tough top group at the top. Luke C (Them Crooked Fulchers) has had a strong point differential by dominating group play the last 3 years but has come up short in getting to the elite 8 losing close games to final 4 player daboys in rd of 32 Tecmo IX, VikingMoe in the rd of 64 in Tecmo X, and 3pt loss to elite 8 participant Ones. Final Fntasy speedrunner record holder (at one time) Russel S (Kweh 11) elite tapping plaus skill makes him a tough out as evidenced by his strong performance in Tecmo X where he almost fnished his group as the 1 seed but made it out as the 2 before getting pummeled by skunker. Rust may be a slight factor be he has been playing recently to work it off. Online player Storksdaman will be making his first Madison appearance and is an X factor and could give the top 2 seeds in this group a scare.
Dillon Region
Group 25– Group that is home to the defending champ Derek R (tecmopsycho) who struggled out of the gate last year nearly going 0-2 and getting eliminated in group play but he had the will of a champion and found his groove and ran the table thereafter. He is one of the elite tappers and and has tons of live tourney experience so he has a good a shot as any of trying to become the 2nd repeat champion. Jimmy P (jimsocks) would be my favorite for the #2 seed as he made it to the round of 16 in Tecmo X only to go 1-2 in group play the next year. Nate V( the legend) is looking to live up to his name after nearly escaping group play last year only to lose badly to rico in the losers bracket championship.
Group 26- Matt .O (LuckyTool) is hoping his luck will change and he make another elite 8 run as he is in the conversation of one of the best to never win it. He knocked me out last year in the round of 32 only to lose in OT to skunker. He a close losses to Jeff B (rd of 32) Tecmo IX and one of his only bad losses a 21-3 loss to Matt V in the round of 16 Tecmo X. However this group will be tough at the top. His competition will be Kyle F (Flo) and Barry A (Bob Nelson) are both experience players who have good winning %’s and have made it out of group play numerous times. Flo was eliminated by Joey V in the round of 64 after sweeping his group in Tecmo XI and Bob Nelson has had the unfortunate pleasure of facing and losing to Chet in round of 64 the last two tourney’s. Something I’m sure he will be happy to avoid in Tecmo XII.
Group 27- Tourney co-founder and brother of Chet (sonofpatbeach) will be hoping for the magical bookend trying to win the first and LAST? 
Tecmo Madison. He was in the zone last year before losing back to back games on the final plays of the games. Rough. Brian R. (ChaosRison) will be making his third Temco Madison appearance having last played in Tecmo X getting elminated in pool play. However he some some wins over big name players in older tourney’s and his perhaps strangly high rating despite not getting out of pool play likely comes from playing Jeff B to a 3 pt game in Tecmo X. John F. (Slaughterhouse) will also be vying for the 2 seed having made it out of pool play as the 2 seed the last two tournaments only to then lose in the round of 64.
Group 28– Yet another fairly tough top heavy group is led by Erik M (ARNCOEM) whose last tourney entry got REGULATED in the round of 16 as he was a blade of grass to Regulators lawnmower. Losing in a 31-0 PIT vs JETS matchup. Tough to move the ball vs Regulater as PIT. Former online player and recent tourney player Jeff E (jebigred) will be making his first Madison appearance but had a very solid showing in the Tomzack Bowl splitting games with Josh and losing by one score to Coco. Solid online player Justin P (justinpeters51) will also be making his first Madison trip and also had a very solid showing in the Tomzack Bowl beating cvogt and losing in OT vs Josh. Sadly someone solid will not be making it out of this group.
Group 29– . This is yet another tough group to call. Tony J (Dotdon) appears to be the king of this mountain. He might be one of only two players to have beaten both Regulator (tecmo 7) and Josh in Tecmo Madison. He last played in Tecmo X where he lost in the round of 32 to daboy in an ATL- DAL matchup. The no nickname Nate C appears to be the slight favorite for the two seed knocking ff gripsmoke and Ryan S on his way to winning his pool last year before losing to Josh in the round of 32. Andrew F(Clown Baby), Dan D(Cod) and James K (player121xk) are all capable of getting hot and winning the 2 seed as well. player121xk and Andrew F have made it out of pool play as the 2 seed once in the last two tourneys.
Group 30– Pacific Northwest tourney organizer and the man-YO also known as the Blue Luigi Joseph M (manyo360) will be making his 3rd return to Madison. He has swept pool play the last 2 tourney’s before making the mistake of giving tony the Rams and losing badly in a WAS/RAMS matchup. He stepped his game up a nothc and made it to the round of 32 before getting knocked off by Matt Diaz. But just getting out of this group will be no easy task as he faces 3 players who got out of group play last tourney. Eric D (Ding) nearly knocked me off in my pool play title game in Tecmo X but 2 minute drive by the Rams secured the win. He also knocked Soby out in OT in Tecmo VIII. Online player Nick S (Segathon) will be hoping to repeat his preformance in last year’s madison where he swept pool play before putting up the goosegg vs Tecmopsycho. Russell N will be making his second appearance after he made it out of pool play only to lose to ODelle in the round of 64 last year.
Group 31 – Former Champion Kevin M (buzzsaw) will be hoping to turn back the clock after not making out of a couple tough pools in Tecmo IX and Tecmo X.Travis R (Moulds) also did not make it out of group play his last tourney tecmo X and will have a good chance of making it out here. Online player Eric M (heardyasquash) will be looking to play spoiler and has a chance of getting out of this group as well.
Group 32 – Rounding out this region is Tom B (8-bit) is the clear #1 seed having made it out of pool play the last 3 tourney’s and twice as the 1 seed in his group. Bracket play has proved challenging as his losses have been of the 2 TD variety. Cory S. (noonan) will be hoping to get out of group play after starting of 2-0 in Tecmo XI only to then lose two in a row to get eliminated. Local player Erik S (dice) once made a final 4 but that was long ago as his last tourney entrance was Tecmo VII where he lost badly to MV in the first round of bracket paly. He did beat Chet way back in Tecmo III.
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Who is your pick to bring home the title?! Let us know in the comments!
Tecmo Madison is the tournament of tournaments. The World Championships. We at Tecmo Bowlers are sad to see the Madison crew hang up their controllers after Tecmo XII. We are forever grateful for the blood, sweat, and 72 pin connectors they put into our community.
Be sure to watch Tecmo XII live from Twitch broadcast at twitch.tv/TecmoBowl - the broadcast should begin 2PM CST on Saturday, February 20th.
Original posts from TecmoBowl.org
http://tecmobowl.org/forum/topic/67737-tecmo-xii-preview-stiller-region/
http://tecmobowl.org/forum/topic/67727-tecmo-xii-preview-favre-region/
http://tecmobowl.org/forum/topic/67799-tecmo-xii-preview-diaz-region/
http://tecmobowl.org/forum/topic/67880-tecmo-xii-preview-dillon-region/
The post Tecmo Madison XII – Pool Play Breakdown by Region appeared first on TECMO BOWLERS.